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Spread betting
This
flexible technique for speculating on financial
markets and sporting events has grown in popularity
hugely in recent years. Unfortunately there aren't
many specialist bookmakers offering spread betting
at the moment, but the majority of those that
do allow both online and telephone betting, and
internationally the numbers are expected to increase
commensurate with the activity's growing popularity.
Although
the services, markets, and events that the client
can access through each bookmaker may vary, all
spread betting is based on the same principle.
Basically, the bookmaker makes a prediction as
to the result of a future event in the form of
high and low estimates (the difference between
these two figures is called the spread, or the
difference between the price the bookmaker will
sell to you, and the price he will buy from you),
and if you think the result will be higher than
their spread, you 'buy' at the top end, whereas
if you predict that the result will be lower,
you 'sell' at the low end. Having decided whether
you are going to bet down or up from the spread,
you must then decide how much money you are prepared
to risk per point of the bet. For example, if
the spread quoted was 6000-6012 on the FTSE 100
index, a GBP1 a point bet would make GBP1 in profit
for every point that the FTSE exceeded the upper
figure at the expiry of the bet (and sadly, it
works in exactly the same way for losses.
Theoretically,
spread bets can be placed on any event for which
there can be an upper or lower limit, but in practice
the majority of bookmakers providing spread betting
services tend to limit themselves to sporting
and political events and financial markets. This,
however, is not much of a limitation, as there
are a wide variety of options open to clients
in these areas. For example, one leading spread
betting enterprise allows bets on stock indices,
share prices, currencies, interest rates, commodities,
and options, while its sporting arm allows customers
to place bets on such diverse events as soccer,
horse racing, rugby, cricket, golf, tennis, American
football, motor racing (deep breath
), greyhound
racing, snooker, and boxing.
Most
specialist bookmakers providing a spread betting
service will offer both deposit and credit accounts,
but in either case, you will need to be aware
of the Notional Trading Requirement. (Yes, it
is as dull as it sounds, but you need to know
about it, so don't skip this bit. Here goes
)
The NTR is the minimum amount of money required
by the bookmaker to open a new position, and is
a risk figure applied to each market that the
bookmaker quotes, and it is what they see as a
fair reflection of the potential daily volatility
of that market. The figure varies from market
to market, but if, for example, you wanted to
bet GBP5 per point on the FTSE futures market,
the NTR could be 300 times your stake, which would
make the minimum deposit required to run that
position GBP1,500.
Spread betting is appealing to ever greater numbers
of investors for several reasons, not least of
which is the absence of capital gains tax on profits
(unlike conventional share trading, where CGT
applies to trading gains in many countries), and
the lack of stamp duty on transactions (most interesting
in the UK; strictly speaking, the transaction
is a bet, rather than an investment. Hence the
name.)
However,
by its very nature spread betting is more risky
than traditional, fixed odds betting, or conventional
domestic investment, where participants are usually
a little more protected. If you judge wrong, you
are likely to lose a great deal, and any losses
made on a spread bet cannot be offset against
capital gains on ordinary investments.
Spread
betting, to conclude, is not suitable for long-term
investment, or for placing your hopes, dreams,
and life savings in, but can potentially be very
profitable in the short term. The rules regarding
residential restrictions do not seem to set in
stone as yet, perhaps due to the removal of geographical
restrictions facilitated by the Internet. However,
every organisation offering spread betting recommends
that their customers should examine the taxation
laws of their country of residence before making
any decision, so it may well be worth seeking
professional advice.
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Contracts
for Difference (CFDs)
On
a more international note, some bookmakers also
offer Contracts for Difference (sometimes known
as Margined Equity Contracts), which are a type
of equity derivative designed to give active traders
extra leverage in their share trading. At the
moment, most brokers do not offer a CFD service,
but CFDs are rapidly becoming popular both in
the UK and internationally as a mechanism for
large but short term speculation, so this may
well change.
Institutions
and qualifying private investors can use a CFD
to go 'long' or 'short' of a share (as with spread
betting), and positions are taken on margin -
typically, only 20% of the contract value has
to be maintained in the CFD account. This allows
users to establish much larger positions than
would usually be possible, and in effect, the
investor is able to speculate with much more money
than he actually has by borrowing from his broker,
and using the shares he has bought as collateral.
If
the share price moves in the investor's favour,
the CFD provider is obliged to pay margin each
day to him/her, but conversely, if the share price
moves against the investor, he/she will then have
to pay 'variation margin' to the broker. For example:
Say you were to decide to take a long position
on 10,000 ICI shares at a quoted price of 500p
(it must be firmly stated here that this is a
fictitious example, as opposed to a recommendation).
This is the equivalent to a GBP50,000 exposure,
on which a GBP10,000 initial deposit is payable.
If the shares rise to 550p in the next 3 days,
you should receive GBP5,000 from your CFD provider,
minus whatever interest charges are payable. If
you then decide to close the CFD on the fourth
day, when the price quoted is 555p, you should
have made a total profit (before dealing commission
and interest charges) of GBP5500. At the moment,
there is no stamp duty payable on this type of
transaction, as there is no physical stock transaction,
but profits made on CFDs are liable for Capital
Gains Tax.
Sounds
good, doesn't it? But although it is possible
to get rich quickly trading Contracts for Differences,
because of the highly margined nature of this
type of transaction, it is also possible to get
poor quickly- if the share price goes against
you, the margin payments (which have to be paid
in cash) can prove crippling. CFD trading is not
for novices, and regulatory authorities insist
that investors only trade in this way if they
have experience of both equity and margin trading.
The high minimum deposit is also (deliberately)
prohibitive, and most CFD providers will only
do business with investors who can prove substantial
liquid assets. Minimum transaction sizes can sometimes
be as high as GBP25,000. In conclusion, then,
CFDs may be the most economical option for large,
short-term trades, executed by qualified investors,
but should probably be avoided by the newer investor.
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Hedge Funds
Hedge
funds, in the popularly accepted sense, are investment
partnerships that invest in a variety of securities
and seek above average returns through active
portfolio management. Hedge funds are generally
not regulated by any of the domestic securities
regulatory bodies, and therefore do not raise
funds via public offerings, and are not allowed
to engage in general solicitation or advertising.
Although
hedge funds have long been popular in the US,
all-encompassing regulation in the European Union
has meant that their marketing has been severely
restricted in many EU member states, which have
each had to repackage the funds in different ways,
in order to make them palatable to regulators.
However, recent agreements reached by the Council
of Economics and Finance Ministers should eventually
lead to a situation in which an investment product
approved in one member state may be marketed anywhere
in the EU, and where the range of approved products
may be substantially extended to include hedge
funds. This would give a tremendous boost to the
funds' popularity in Europe.
Because
they are not regulated in the same way as conventional
mutual funds, hedge fund managers (who will usually
have a substantial amount of their own money invested
in the fund) are free to utilise more unconventional
and potentially 'riskier' investment strategies
in order to secure higher returns for the fund
investors. Although there is no legal definition
of a hedge fund, the term in fact derives from
the fact that investments within this type of
fund have tended to hold both long and short positions
(just one of the aforementioned strategies), thus
making them 'hedged' or protected to some degree
against market volatility.
There
are more hedge fund strategies available than
it is possible to shake a substantially sized
stick at, and the fact that that investment managers
have the discretion (broadly speaking) to alter
investments strategies without prior investor
approval means that their management strategy
can be flexible, and prone to alteration as market
conditions dictate. However, here (just for information)
are several of the more common strategies used:
-
Sector investing: This is where the manager
focuses on specific industry sectors with favourable
growth prospects, such as health or technology
- Investment
in emerging markets:
Fairly self-explanatory really; this is when
a hedge fund manager invests in debt and equity
securities in countries with less well-developed
financial markets which have strong prospects
for rapid growth.
-
Macro investing: When an investment manager
adopts a wide variety of global instruments
and strategies, sometimes assuming an aggressive
risk posture
-
Long/short equity investing: This strategy
focuses on long and short investing in equities
which a fund manager feels are under- or overvalued
at a particular time. These investments may
be focussed on one particular sector, or diversified
across several industries.
-
Market neutral investing: This strategy
involves the simultaneous purchase and sale
of similar securities in order to take advantage
of pricing differentials.
-
Distressed securities investing: This
is when the hedge fund manager invests in debt
and equity securities of companies experiencing
financial difficulties, undergoing re-organisation,
or bankruptcy procedures.
-
Event driven investing: This is a strategy
of investing in the securities of companies
involved in mergers, acquisitions, liquidations,
or any other events that might alter their financial
structure or operating strategy.
-
Short selling: This is when the fund
manager seeks to benefit from declining securities
prices by establishing short positions in companies
with unfavourable profits.
So now you know. As previously mentioned, due
to their unregulated and potentially risky nature,
hedge funds are not allowed to advertise to individual
investors (at least not onshore), and therefore,
are usually offered to limited numbers of affluent
investors and institutional clients, who are subject
to lock-up period of at least a year before they
can make withdrawals from the fund. It used to
be the case that only those with very substantial
net worth would be considered for hedge fund investment
partnerships, and although the minimum deposit
required for some funds is lower than it was (due
to their rise in popularity in recent years),
it is usually still quite steep, and consequently,
direct hedge fund investment should really only
be considered by those with substantial liquid
assets that they can easily do without for a year
or more.
That
being said, there are ways for individuals with
lower (but still sizeable) net worth to take advantage
of the superior returns often offered by hedge
funds. There are basically three main ways to
get involved in hedge fund investing:
| 1)
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Invest
directly. This option is really only reserved
for High Net Worth Individuals (able to make
a minimum investment from between $1 million
and $5 million in most cases) who possess
a high degree of investment knowledge. Word
of mouth is a powerful tool in the upper echelons
of the hedge fund world, so if you haven't
been told about it, you probably aren't eligible
for it
|
| 2)
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Use
a consultant. A consultant can act as a bridge
between individual investors and hedge fund
managers, and can usually provide information
about managers' strategy and performance.
(Hedge fund managers are not required to report
performance data to any central authority,
so this information is usually very hard to
come by).
|
| 3)
|
Invest
through a third party firm. A number of financial
services providers are now offering access
to what are essentially funds of hedge funds.
This is probably the most realistic option
for mass affluent investors, as the minimum
investment required is usually a lot more
affordable, sometimes as low (!) as $100,000.
There are many benefits to this style of investing,
which not only provides investors with access
to multi-manager expertise which might not
previously have been available to them, but
means that the firm may be able to tap long
standing relationships with prominent fund
managers, and to add professional due diligence
and asset allocation expertise to the proceedings. |
Whichever
way you choose to approach hedge fund investing,
however, you should do some due diligence of your
own, both before you get involved, and through
the duration of your involvement with the fund.
Below are some of the basic issues you will need
to look at before investing in a hedge fund, or
fund of hedge funds (although this is by no means
comprehensive, so if you are thinking of investing
in this way, professional advice is a must):
The
Fund
-
Volatility:
Look at the fund's monthly (or weekly) volatility,
as well as its annual or quarterly returns,
checking whether the annual return was generated
fairly evenly through the entire year, or whether
it was generated by large gains in one or two
specific periods
- Breadth:
Check whether the manager turned in an even
result on all issues, or whether one lucky trade
accounted for the majority of the gains made
in a particular period.
- Repetition:
Is the investment process easily repeatable,
or was the fund's good performance caused by
an isolated incident in the period under examination?
- Strategy
specific risk: Examine which strategies
are commonly used by the particular fund manager
in question, and look at the risks inherent
in these strategies. Look at the risk management
philosophy within the fund, and examine the
precautions taken against currency exposure,
interest rate exposure, technical and other
problems, and marauding elephants. (Just kidding
with the last one, although a fund manager that
does have a contingency plan in the event of
elephant attack is probably one to whom you
can entrust your money!)
- Leverage:
Look at the fund's rationale for leverage, ascertaining
the leverage caps, the average leverage used,
and whether leverage has ever been revoked for
any reason.
The People
-
Background: Look at the general background of
the fund, including the division of responsibility
amongst the principals, its formation and structure,
fund terms and relationships, and possible conflicts
of interest.
-
Manager profile: Look into the background, qualifications,
and employment history of the fund manager,
and obtain references and current investor testimonials.
-
Reporting: Ascertain who the custodian of the
fund's assets is, and who the prime broker is.
(An important point to remember is that a cheque,
or wire transfer of funds should never go directly
to the fund itself, but should always be sent
to the prime broker, or custodial bank.)
-
Administration: Find out whether the manager
uses a third party administrator to calculate
monthly returns, and ask for background on the
fund, their calculation and verification methods,
where their data comes from, and what procedures
they have in place for monitoring that the terms
of the fund's offering are being upheld.
-
Audits: Every fund should be audited annually,
and if the fund is new, they should have an
auditor under contract for the end of the first
year. Check how experienced the auditors of
your preferred hedge fund are at performing
this type of audit, and contact them to obtain
background knowledge of the fund and its manager.
-
Other investors: Finally, ask for information
about the profile of the other investors; are
they mostly individual, or institutional investors?
Onshore or offshore investors? Look at their
average net worth, if you can, and also the
extent of diversification in their portfolios.
By now, of course, you may be wondering if you
can be bothered with all that, and contemplating
making yourself a nice cup of tea. That, of course,
is also an option. Although hedge fund due diligence
seems like a lot of work, it is worth remembering
that if you are planning to invest in a fund of
funds, a lot of this work (although not all) will
be done for you. And if you are going it alone,
chances are that you will not see this background
research as a chore, because you are likely to
be investing substantial amounts of money. Conventional
mutual funds require somewhat less effort, because
their more regulated nature means that some of
the issues pertinent to hedge funds do not apply
to them. However, lack of regulation (one of the
reasons why this research has to be so comprehensive)
is one of the factors which makes hedge funds
so potentially profitable
Here
we get to the bottom line - if you are a wealthy
investor with a fair tolerance for risk, and a
desire to see your investments hedged against
market volatility, hedge fund investment may be
the way to go. If you have all of the above, but
a slightly smaller liquid net worth, then you
may want to consider investing in a fund of hedge
funds, or some other similar vehicle. And if you
want to know what's on TV tonight, and whether
you can have your cup of tea yet, you may have
come to the wrong place
!
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