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Set against a gloomy picture of world-wide GDP
shrinkage of 2.9% in 2009, with some countries
experiencing double-digit falls in output, world
trade contracting for the first time in 50 years
and shrivelling capital markets, emerging markets
are a basket case, right?
Not
so. According to the World Bank, developing countries,
which grew by 8.1% in 2007 and 5.9% in 2008, are
expected to grow by 'only' 1.2% this year. Admittedly,
this is largely due to China and India - if they
are excluded, the rest of the developing world
will see a fall in GDP of 1.6%. Still, most G20
OECD countries would eat their hearts out for
figures like that.
The
World Bank even thinks that emerging markets will
see a return to 4.4% growth in 2010, followed
by 5.7% in 2011.
FDI
flows to emerging markets have mirrored the global
financial meltdown, of course, but they haven't
reversed, or anywhere near it. After their FDI
peak of more than a trillion dollars in 2007,
inflows fell to barely USD700 bn in 2008, and
are projected to halve from that level in 2009.
The
Bank sounded a note of caution, though: “The
need to restructure the banking system, combined
with emerging limits to expansionary policies
in high-income countries, will prevent a global
rebound from gaining traction,” said Justin
Lin, World Bank Chief Economist and Senior Vice
President, Development Economics, “Developing
countries can become a key driving force in the
recovery, assuming their domestic investments
rebound with international support, including
a resumption in the flow of international credit.”
The
Bank's 2009 report characterizes the regions as
follows: The East Asia and Pacific region will
see 5% growth this year and 6.6% in 2010; Europe
and Central Asia is the worst hit region, with
GDP projected to fall by 4.7% this year, recovering
to growth of about 1.6% in 2010; Latin America
and the Caribbean is expected to see a fall of
2.3% 2009, bouncing back to 2% growth in 2010;
finally, the Middle East and North Africa region
will see growth halved to 3.1% in 2009, then slowly
returning to higher levels of growth in subsequent
years.
What
Exactly Is An Emerging Market?
Many
international agencies consider all non-high income
countries to be "Emerging Markets",
stressing the potential of all nations to develop.
Others include only those countries that meet
certain levels of economic development and in
which local equity and debt markets are operating.
In general, Emerging Markets countries are characterized
by an underdeveloped or developing commercial
and financial infrastructure, with significant
potential for economic growth and eased capital
market participation by foreign investors. Countries
generally considered to be Emerging Markets possess
some, but not necessarily all, of the following
characteristics:
-
Per capita GNP of less than US $9,656 (a World
Bank definition of low- and middle-income economies);
-
Recent or relatively recent economic liberalization
(including, but not limited to, a reduction
in the state's role in the economy, privatization
of previously state-owned companies, and/or
removal of foreign exchange controls and obstacles
to foreign investment);
-
Debt ratings below investment grade by major
international ratings agencies and a recent
history of defaulting on, or rescheduling of,
sovereign debt;
-
Recent liberalization of the political system
and a move towards greater public participation
in the political process; and
-
Non-membership in the Organization of Economic
Co-operation and Development (OECD).
Countries that are usually considered classic
examples of Emerging Markets include Argentina,
Brazil, India, Mexico, China, Central and Eastern
European nations and Russia. Others that may be
considered borderline cases, possessing fewer
of the above characteristics, include Greece,
Portugal, and Turkey.
Countries
which meet many of the definitions above, but
which have not yet been the focus of significant
foreign investment, are often referred to as "pre-Emerging
Markets" or "emerging Emerging Markets".
These countries include most of Africa, some Central
American nations, and a number of the former Soviet
republics.
Many
commentators think that most emerging markets
are in fact in a far better position to achieve
long-term growth than their developed peers and
competitors, with their massive debt burdens,
high social costs and shrinking tax bases. The
relatively 'coupled' behaviour of the twin worlds
of developed and developing economies, which has
been the pattern of the global economy in recent
years may in fact be going to revert to the picture
that was more usual in the middle decades of the
twentieth century, when the developing countries
put up a solid performance year after year, in
sharp contrast to the turgid behaviour of most
of the larger developed countries. What was true
then is perhaps truer now than ever: that it is
far easier for the less-developed economies to
make massive productivity gains, while at the
same time benefiting from increasing populations.
The
Meltdown In 2008
Not
only does the future
look brighter now for emerging markets, but they
also performed more robustly than the 'first world'
last year. In its April, 2008 Global Financial
Stability Report, the IMF worried that financial
problems had spread beyond the US subprime market
to the prime residential and commercial real estate
markets, consumer credit, and the low- to highgrade
corporate credit markets, but remarked that emerging
market countries had been broadly resilient. However,
said the IMF, some remained vulnerable to a credit
pullback, especially in those cases where domestic
credit growth had been fueled from external funding
sources and large current account deficits needed
to be financed. Further shocks to investors’
risk appetite for emerging market assets could
not be ruled out if financial conditions worsened,
said the IMF.
Well,
they did worsen, yet the emerging markets were
more resilient than anyone expected, except perhaps
in those countries themselves.
According
to a mid-2008 report from PricewaterhouseCoopers,
CEOs of companies in emerging markets around the
world were confident they could maintain high
rates of growth funded primarily from internal
resources rather than relying on outside investment,
.
The
report from PwC, entitled "Convergence &
Differentiation: What is success in a connected
world?", was launched at the World Economic
Forum’s meeting on Latin America in Cancun
in April, and suggested that growth in emerging
markets was outstripping that of developed nations,
blurring traditional economic distinctions.
In
addition to the well-established emergence of
the BRIC economies (Brazil, Russia, India and
China), intra-regional trade and investment is
fuelling explosive growth in such countries as
Indonesia, South Korea, the Philippines, Singapore
and Thailand, the report stated.
"The
economic strength and confidence of the emerging
markets could at least partially offset the impact
of economic slowdowns in the developed world.
The flow of capital, goods and labour among emerging
economies is now growing faster than trade between
emerging nations and developed countries,"
observed Samuel A. DiPiazza Jr., Global CEO of
PricewaterhouseCoopers.
He
continued: "The expanding connections of
the economies in the developing world could insulate
them from the worst impact of a downturn in the
US and Western Europe."
The
report noted that since 2000, emerging markets
have run a current account surplus and have exported
capital to the rest of the world.
Emerging
markets have also driven the number of initial
public offerings (IPOs) to record levels worldwide,
with 70% of all IPOs in 2007 coming from emerging
economies.
Emerging
economies now also account for 45% of world exports,
and have amassed 75% of all foreign exchange reserves.
CEOs
of companies in emerging economies identified
a number of risks to continued growth. They noted
that a slowdown in the developed world could slow
commodity exports, while fallout from the credit
squeeze in the United States could impact local
financial markets.
Longer
term, CEOs in emerging market countries were sensitive
to the potential impact of global climate change.
Emerging-market CEOs believe more strongly than
their counterparts in developed economics that
governments should take a leadership role in determining
strategies to combat global warming.
They
believe that the developed world should accept
more responsibility for the costs to correct its
impact, an opinion shared by CEOs in the developed
economies.
Asked
how they would fund growth, most CEOs from emerging-market
economies said they would rely on internally generated
cash flow.
The
debt market ranked a distant second as a source
of capital. The equity markets, divestiture of
existing assets, and accessing private equity
and venture capital ranked far behind.
Of
the 14 CEOs interviewed in-depth for the report,
none said that access to capital was a barrier
to growth, citing their company's strong credit
ratings and a continued influx of foreign capital.
The
PwC report identified three sets of "strategic
drivers" that contribute to the success of
companies in emerging markets and enable them
to differentiate themselves in an increasingly
converging world.
These
differentiators are asset-driven, including financial
strength, brands and people; process-driven, including
supply chain and innovation; and organisation-driven,
including governance and structure.
Ironically,
the report found that often the very factors that
make companies in emerging markets unique and
successful are viewed by some outsiders as limitations.
For
example, because emerging markets once faced difficulties
in attracting capital, companies became adept
at building internal capital reserves and maintaining
healthy credit ratings. They also developed disciplined
financial structures that serve them well today
as their home markets grow quickly and attract
foreign investment.
The
report also addressed cultural, structural and
business networks components of organisations.
It
found that in some cases, traditional "command-and
control" structures associated with family
enterprises gives them the agility necessary to
succeed in the current business environment.
Also,
according to the report, most emerging market
CEOs perceive government as more of an obstacle
than a pathway to private-sector development.
Emerging-market CEOs more strongly factor in regulatory
concerns when making business decisions than do
their counterparts in developed economies.
Yet,
30% of emerging market CEOs believed that current
governments were creating a business-friendly
environment, slightly higher than the 24% of CEOs
from developed economies who thought likewise,
the PwC report concluded.
Deutsche Bank also noted the robust performance
of emerging markets investments, announcing the
results of its sixth annual Alternative Investment
Survey, which was conducted during March 2008
by the Bank's Hedge Fund Capital Group.
Over
1,000 respondents from 500 institutions responded
to the 2008 survey, including banks, corporations,
insurance companies, consultants, family offices,
high net worth individuals, wealth management
companies, funds of funds, pensions, endowments
and foundations.
"Hedge
fund investors' prediction that the Middle East
and North Africa will be the top performing region
in 2008 indicates a clear redistribution of capital
towards emerging markets," commented Sean
Capstick, London-based Co-Head of the Hedge Fund
Capital Group.
He
continued: "The survey also shows that the
number of early stage investors has fallen by
25 percent in the past year, making 2008 a more
challenging environment for startup funds."
"Hedge
fund investors are cautiously poised, as shown
by their increased focus on risk management and
plans to allocate to strategies which are not
sensitive to equity market risk," noted Maarten
Nederlof, New York-based Co-Head of the Hedge
Fund Capital Group. "We also found that despite
their overall bearish outlook on the economy,
investors predicted more than USD200bn will flow
into the industry."
The majority of investors surveyed planned to
increase their allocations to emerging markets,
with the Middle East as the predicted top performer
amongst all regions.
Despite
the bullish noises that continue to surround emerging
market performance, look back a few years, however,
and you'll come up against a scary series of defaults
and emerging market crises such as the Russian
debt default in 1998, which brought down one of
the world's largest hedge funds in Long Term Capital
Management and sparked fears within the US government
of a meltdown in the banking system. Other examples
are the Asian financial crisis of 1997/1998 and
Argentina's debt default in 2001. Even the jailing
of former Yukos CEO Mikhail Kordokovsky on fraud
and tax evasion charges in October, 2003 caused
the entire Russian stock market to fall 15% in
one week.
Could
it happen again? That's the question a long-term
emerging markets investor has to ask, and that's
the issue that underlies the persistent discount
of emerging markets stocks to those in the developed
world. In terms of indices, at least, the answer
seems to be positive. Hedge funds investing in
emerging asia posted gains in March and April,
2009, with the HFRI Emerging Markets: Asia ex-Japan
Index gaining over 8.5% year to date through April,
inclusive of a 7% gain in the month April.
The
volume of investment doesn't show up so well,
however. Despite the recent gains, investors withdrew
USD9bn from hedge funds investing in Asia in the
first quarter of 2009, according to data released
on May 13 by Hedge Fund Research, Inc., a leading
hedge fund industry data provider. Total
capital invested in the Asian hedge fund industry
fell to USD65bn at the end of Q1, approximately
USD45bn below the record level achieved at the
end of 2007. Globally in the first quarter, investors
withdrew more than USD103bn from hedge funds,
reducing total industry assets to USD1.33 trillion.
As
a result of positive performance in Q1, funds
investing exclusively in Emerging Asia or across
both Emerging Asia and Japan posted a performance-based
asset gain of over USD2.6bn. Hedge funds investing
in Emerging Asia posted gains in three of the
first five months of the year, after losses of
nearly 33.5% in 2008. Funds focused solely on
Japan, by way of comparison, generated a performance-based
asset loss for the quarter of approximately USD575m.
Over
1,000 hedge funds now focus on investing in Asia.
This total represents over 15% of the total number
of funds in the global industry and exceeds the
12% focusing on Europe. However, Asia-focused
funds are characteristically smaller, accounting
for 4.9% of total industry assets versus the 9%
found in European-focused funds.
China
is home to the third largest number of hedge fund
firms globally. While over 85% of firms are located
in the US and the UK, nearly 3% of firms are headquartered
in China. Also reflecting an increasing trend
of operating funds in local markets, while 48%
of all funds investing in Asia are still located
in the US and UK, 20% of funds investing in Asia
are located in China, up from 17% one year ago.
“Hedge
funds investing in Asia began the current period
of consolidation earlier than the overall industry,
but also now appear to be stabilizing earlier,”
said Kenneth Heinz, President of Hedge Fund Research.
Adding: “Global investors are likely to
have strong interest in allocating to Asia-focused
hedge funds in 2009, as they look to access Asia’s
superior secular growth dynamics, supported by
the relative stability of the region’s banking
sector and global currency reserves.”
Even Russia, which has seen shattering falls in
its equity indices, is being seen in a more positive
light. The Russian Private Equity Survey 2009,
conducted by KPMG, showed that 73% of international
respondents thought that Russia would be the emerging
market offering the most investment opportunities
this year.
The
survey's findings were based on research conducted
by KPMG in Russia between December 2008 and February
2009, and canvassed the views of 42 private equity
houses based in Western Europe and the USA for
its international sample, in addition to 30 Russia-based
private equity houses.
Of
those questioned for the KPMG survey, 73% believed
that energy, mining and utilities sectors will
provide the most attractive returns in the near
future, with 71% of international respondents
thinking the same of the consumer sector.
Approximately
three quarters of all respondents believed that
low valuations and distressed situations will
be the most significant drivers of merger and
acquisition (M&A) activity in the short term.
Those
polled by KPMG also suggested that lower valuations
mean that many companies will only dispose of
assets in the short term if they are forced to
do so out of economic necessity, with 70% of the
Russian sample considering that oligarch-funded
private equity houses may, over the year, opt
to exit investments to provide liquidity for the
owners' core businesses.
Macroeconomic
volatility was cited as the main obstacle to private
equity investment by 89% of the international
sample of KPMG's respondents, and 77% of the international
sample felt that knowledge of the Russian market
is the most critical factor for successful M&A
transactions in Russia, a view supported by the
vast majority of Russian respondents.
Thomas
Dix, KPMG's Head of Transaction Services in Russia
and the CIS, confirmed this, observing: "One
of the specific challenges of doing business in
Russia is the requirement for local knowledge
and connections. International houses will, in
my view, struggle without a strong local presence."
He
went on to add: "Due to the lower growth
prospects of the Russian economy, the value creation
capabilities that international [private equity]
houses can bring are increasingly important. Therefore,
I expect to see more international players cooperating
with Russian houses in the future."
The
PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) EM20 Index for 2009
has Chile, Malaysia, Bulgaria and China in its
top four slots. PwC thinks that that the BRIC
countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China) continue
to offer interesting opportunities for investment.
'For manufacturing companies seeking to invest
in emerging markets,' says PwC, 'low production
costs are, of course, essential but other facts
then come into play, including a country’s
risk premium, its distance from key export markets
and the local taxes. Amongst the Asian countries
in the PwC EM20 Index, India tops the Manufacturing
Index, followed by Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia
and China.'
PwC
Malaysia Managing Director Chin Kwai Fatt said:
“It is encouraging that Malaysia ranks in
the top 20 for not just one, but both the manufacturing
and services indices. This is a good reflection
of the workforce capability, cost effectiveness
and infrastructure, which we possess. With Thailand
and Vietnam also placed in the rankings, the collective
strength of our region will steer more foreign
investment our way. However, our challenge will
be to navigate through potential political and
economic changes to ensure continued success.”
Ian
Coleman, UK head of emerging markets, PricewaterhouseCoopers
LLP, commented: “The main reason why China
trails countries such as India and Vietnam is
that the EM20 risk-reward index is a ratio measure
which does not take into account the absolute
size of a country’s market. If a company
was looking to develop a very large-scale manufacturing
facility, the labour capacity and physical infrastructure
required would arguably rule out some of the countries
at the top of the Manufacturing Index and would
increase China’s relative attractiveness.”
The
sustained interest of hedge funds in emerging
markets is echoed across the financial landscape,
with many bank and other institutions behaving
as if emerging markets will form a long-term part
of their investment horizons. But nowhere is it
more marked than in the GCC, and particularly
in Dubai.
In
April 2007 Deutsche Bank announced the expansion
of its 'aXess' equity products to include markets
of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). The bank's
aXess service is a suite of structured equity
products that address the demand of international
investors by providing full economic exposure
to a wide range of markets across the globe.
In
justification of the move, the bank said that
not only are the GCC markets some of the fastest-growing
in the world, they possess one of the fairest
valuation levels and have low correlation with
other markets, thus providing good opportunities
for diversification. By deploying aXess into the
GCC, Deutsche Bank said it is facilitating local
investment by international investors.
Deutsche
Bank aXess products allow investors to obtain
immediate exposure to the performance of local
shares via a Luxembourg listed instrument which
is settled via Euroclear in US Dollars. Deutsche
Bank acts as market maker and provides comprehensive
price transparency. This aXess product suite expands
on Deutsche's equity derivative and swap offering
for the region. Deutsche Bank will initially provide
access to Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Bahrain and Qatar.
Kerim
Derhalli, Global Head of Emerging Markets Equities
for Deutsche Bank commented: "Providing 'aXess'
to the GCC builds on our extensive strategic commitment
to the Middle East and North Africa. By furthering
Deutsche Bank's innovative and market leading
product offering we continue to strengthen our
premium emerging markets position."
In
March, 2007, Citigold
Corporation Limited, the Australian gold mining
company, became the first company from the East
Asia/Pacific region to list on the Dubai International
Financial Exchange (DIFX).
Commenting
on the move, John Foley, Chairman of Citigold
stated: "As the region's international exchange,
the DIFX is the ideal gateway for Citigold to
connect with regional investors. Our listing of
ordinary shares on the DIFX makes Citigold a leader
in the international capital markets, just as
we are at the forefront of the Australian gold
mining industry.”
Computershare,
the world's largest share registry, has created
an innovative link that allows brokers and investors
around the world to easily trade Citigold’s shares
on either the DIFX or the Australian Stock Exchange
(ASX), where Citigold shares have been listed
since 1993.
Per
E. Larsson, Chief Executive of the DIFX, stated
that: “We welcome Citigold as the first company
from its region to list on the DIFX. The exchange
now has eight equity listings and these come from
companies around the world, from Bahrain to South
Africa and from Switzerland to India. The connection
with the ASX through Computershare is the DIFX's
first such dual listing link with an exchange
outside the Middle East."
Mark
Lynch, Managing Director and CEO of Citigold,
added: “With the gold market in Dubai becoming
a highly sophisticated market and the DIFX emerging
as a trusted international stock exchange, we
are confident that the opportunity to invest in
gold stocks on the DIFX will be well received.”
Paul
Conn, President of Global Capital Markets at Computershare
noted: "We are pleased to launch this cross border
service for Citigold and the DIFX, and to extend
it to other issuers that choose to dual list on
the DIFX to gain access to investment and liquidity
in the Middle East region. We also look forward
to creating further links between DIFX and other
markets around the world, as market demand warrants.”
Hamed
Ali, Executive Officer of the DIFX, observed:
“As well as looking forward to further listings
from companies around the world, the DIFX is preparing
for more listings from prominent firms in its
own region. These will satisfy investor demand
for a diversified product range and enable the
issuers to reach a new investor base."
Citigold,
which has its regional headquarters in Dubai,
currently has nearly 50 UAE-based investors on
its share register, who account for over 3% of
Citigold stock. Citigold said it expects this
figure to increase following the listing on the
DIFX.
Emerging
In The City
For
many investors, it is the performance of emerging
markets' stock exchanges which matters most, and
they had smiles on their faces in September, 2009,
when emerging markets stocks hit highs for the
year. MSCI's emerging market index was at its
highest level since September 9, 2008, a few days
before Lehman's implosion. The emerging markets
sector is up 85% since last March.
"As
we are moving into the fourth quarter, markets
and investors are looking to position themselves
for the rest of this year and the beginning of
next year," said Zsolt Papp, chief economist
for emerging Europe at KBC.
There is a bit more optimism toward the global
outlook, the IMF has upgraded its 2010 growth
forecast. Data for 2009 is not going to affect
markets any more."
While
indices may be high, the picture is not so bright
when it comes to M&A. The first half of 2009
saw a dramatic slowdown in the number of cross-border
deals involving emerging market companies buying
assets in the developed economies.
According
to KPMG's Emerging Markets International Acquisition
Tracker (EMIAT), there were just 70 such deals
in the first six months of the year, down 50%
on the second half of 2008, and the lowest six
month total since the first half of 2005. There
was a similar decline in purchases in the reverse
direction, where developed nations buy emerging
country assets, although China bucked the trend
in both types of deal.
Said
Ian
Gomes, Chairman of KPMG’s High Growth Markets
practice for KPMG in the UK: “Taking the
latest EMIAT figures purely at face value may
not give you the full picture. On the face of
it, 70 deals seems like a paltry return for the
world’s main emerging economies. However,
there are some very strategically important deals
in there — and some very valuable deals.
As some governments urge their corporates to become
more selective and strategic in their acquisitions,
this may be the shape of things to come as far
as the EMIAT is concerned; reflecting a feeling
that less is more.”
“The
other thing to bear in mind is that there is an
awful lot of deal activity going on between the
emerging markets. Much of this takes place away
from the lens of the Western media in particular
and so can often go unnoticed. It could be argued
that by doing this, many trade buyers are returning
to the developmental step which they missed out
first time around. Economic conditions were so
benign back then that it made sense to go straight
for developed market acquisitions. Now that conditions
have changed, it feels like they’re revisiting
possible acquisitions in other emerging markets,
across Asia, Africa and Latin America.”
Alongside
China, India is also a bright spot. Alan Buckle,
Global Head of Advisory at KPMG, commented: “India
provides a perfect example of why it would be
wrong to write off emerging markets’ cross-border
aspirations at this stage. While currently quiet
in deal terms, its economy is still growing, there
is post-election optimism, banks remain liquid
and finance is available for the right deal. Ambitious
companies are awake to the fact that valuations
are dropping. They continue to look abroad but
are cautious after witnessing the very public
travails of their own national champions in their
overseas ventures. This caution will not last
forever.”
“Meanwhile,
the way in which the Chinese have bucked the trend
of falling deal numbers is nothing short of remarkable,
considering what the global economy has thrown
at all prospective trade buyers in recent times.
The recent forays by the Chinese into the Australian
natural resources sector also demonstrate the
impact the Chinese government is having on its
own corporate base, urging them on to clinch more
strategic deals. The resulting media debate reminds
us that these E2D deals retain their ability to
polarize opinion and that — despite their
reduced number — they are likely to remain
an important part of the M&A scene for some
time to come.”
Of
course it's not just in emerging market stock
markets themselves that local companies choose
to list. There have always been plenty of Global
Depositary Receipts and American Depositary Receipts
for companies with illiquid domestic markets,
and large Russian, Chinese or Latin American companies
frequently list directly on major stock exchanges,
offering an alternative play for emerging markets
investors.
According
to offshore law firm, Walkers, offshore listings
on the London Stock Exchange's Alternative Investment
Market (AIM), an international market for smaller
growing companies, were on the rise in 2008.
Walkers
reported that it was seeing more interest from
companies in India, China, and other emerging
markets who want to gain the benefits of offshore
listings by accessing the exchange through Jersey
and the British Virgin Islands.
“AIM
offers a tremendous amount of liquidity to smaller
companies, as well as access to institutional
investors who often turn into mentors and partners,”
observed Hiren Patel, a partner in Walkers’ Jersey
office who did the first offshore AIM listing
for a Chinese company in 2004.
“It’s
a win-win situation since AIM has lower listing
fees compared to other exchanges and investors
often see significant return on their investments
in emerging markets which AIM can access. There
are clear tax advantages, on top of the benefits
of AIM listing, if the listing is done through
an offshore jurisdiction such as Jersey or the
BVI," Patel added.
The firm's optimism seemed to have been borne
out when the London Stock Exchange announced in
June, 2008, that KSK Emerging India Energy Fund
Limited had become the fourth Indian firm to float
on AIM in the last four weeks. Between them the
four new Indian firms had raised an estimated
USD387mn.
KEF
is a closed ended investment company established
to make investments in companies engaged in the
Indian power and energy sector.
On
admission to AIM, KEF raised USD200mn, the largest
AIM float to date in 2008. The other three Indian
firms to have joined AIM over the past month are
Indus Gas, OPG Power Ventures and Mortice Ltd.
Tracey
Pierce, Head of Equity Primary Markets, London
Stock Exchange Group, commented:
“With
London now firmly established as the number one
market for international companies it makes sound
sense for Indian companies with global aspirations
to look to join the London Stock Exchange."
"The
four Indian firms that have chosen to go global
through AIM over the last four weeks are now benefiting
from access to the world’s deepest pool
of international capital and a knowledgeable,
outward looking, professional investor base, committed
to serving emerging markets. The pipeline of growing,
innovative Indian companies looking to admit to
AIM remains strong.”
KEF’s
arrival takes the total number of companies from
India on the London Stock Exchange’s markets
to 52, with a combined market cap of USD16.8bn.
In total Indian firms have raised USD5.3bn through
flotations on the London Stock Exchange. Trading
in the secondary market also remains strong, with
over USD5bn worth of trading in Indian securities
on the International Order Book so far this year.
Stock
Markets In Emerging Economies
There
are more than 30 stockmarkets in countries which
could broadly be considered as 'emerging', and
it's not possible to cover them all here (but
see the Lowtax Network Intelligence Report On
Offshore Stock Exchanges on sale from www.lowtaxlibrary.com).
Dubai
is prominent among emerging financial hubs. The
first Middle East International Banking, Financial
Technology and Services Exhibition and Conference
(MEFX) took place in June, 2008. Presented by
the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC)
and organised by the Dubai World Trade Centre
(DWTC), MEFX was held from 1st - 3rd June, 2008
at the Dubai International Convention and Exhibition
Centre.
Over
70 participating companies from 20 countries showcased
advancements in products, technologies and services
in the financial industry.
The
UAE banking sector is the largest in the GCC,
and its annual growth rate of 35% exceeds the
country's GDP growth rate.
Helal
Saeed Al Marri, Director General of the DWTC,
commented that:
"As
the regional financial industry continues its
unprecedented growth, we are delighted to create
an annual fixture in the event calendar to facilitate
the networking of the region's market leaders
and emerging players with global suppliers in
financial technologies and services."
"MEFX
will evolve to be a most productive platform to
accelerate the product and knowledge exchange
within the regional financial community to ensure
it keeps abreast of the dynamic momentum of development."
Abdulla
Al Awar, Managing Director of DIFC Authority added
that:
"The
launch of MEFX comes at a time when the regional
financial market is entering a new phase of development.
Overall economic growth has enhanced the financial
industry and markets within the region have become
vital for global financial institutions seeking
to grow."
"MEFX
provides a great opportunity for industry professionals
to share ideas and best practices that will foster
further growth in the industry. DIFC is supporting
MEFX as part of its objective of promoting financial
business events that showcase new products, technologies
and initiatives that can drive industry development."
Amongst
the other issues addressed at the event, a specialised
session focused on the Islamic Finance market,
which is growing at a phenomenal rate of 20% annually.
Hot
on the heels of Dubai as financing hubs for the
Asia/Pacific region are are Qatar, Brunei and
Labuan. Releasing its 2007 Annual Report in May,
the Labuan Offshore Financial Services Authority
(LOFSA)
revealed that the Labuan IBFC continued to record
double-digit growth in the number of new offshore
companies, which totalled 6,297 in 2007.
The
availability of expertise and quality service
providers and the wide spectrum of products and
services has made the Labuan IBFC an increasing
attractive domicile for investors, LOFSA suggested.
The
offshore banking industry reported an expansion
in the loan assets, complemented by an improvement
in the asset quality.
The
total assets of offshore banks increased by 27.8%
from USD21.1bn in 2006, to USD 27bn in 2007. The
gross non-performing loans indicator also improved
further, from 2.8% in 2006 to 2.0% in 2007.
The
offshore leasing business continued as one of
the main offshore financial activities, to become
one of the highest growing financial industry
in Labuan IBFC in 2007.
Total
new lease financing increased by 18.7%, resulting
in a cumulative financing of USD14.1bn. This has
been boosted by strong activities in the oil and
gas sectors, as well as increased shipping activities
in the region.
The
report went on to reveal that the offshore insurance
industry continued to expand, particularly in
the reinsurance business sector, which grew by
40.3% to USD919.2mn in 2007, of which 62.0% were
non- Malaysian premiums, signalling its growing
role as a reinsurance centre.
This
is also reflected by the increasing amount of
re-takaful contributions, amounting to USD108.4mn,
an increase of 42.8% from 2006.
For
the year 2007, Islamic-based assets in the Labuan
IBFC continued to grow, to USD1.2bn, representing
an increase of 36.9% as compared to 2006. There
was strong interest from investors from the Middle-East
seeking to invest in the Asian region.
The
position of Malaysia as an International Islamic
Financial Centre (MIFC) has further enhanced Labuan’s
effort to promote Shariah compliant trusts and
foundations, as these products complement the
Islamic financial products and services that are
already available onshore.
The
Labuan International Financial Exchange (LFX)
also recorded four new listings, bringing the
total number to 31, with total market capitalisation
of USD15.1bn.
One
of the major listings was the Sukuk issuance of
USD1bn by Saudi Arabia based Dar Al-Arkan International
Sukuk Company.
Going
forward, LOFSA has identified several key strategic
programmes to advance Labuan as an International
Business and Financial Centre.
One
such initiatives is to elevate Labuan IBFC‘s
status to being the “gold standard for holding
company jurisdiction”.
Malaysia’s
extensive tax treaty network with more than 60
countries and the introduction of a more flexible
tax framework supports this initiative.
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